REPLAY
Historical backtest, not a live simulation. Run the model against a real, documented supply-chain shock and see exactly where the modeled cascade matched public reporting — and where it didn't. Three honest buckets, never a single accuracy percentage.
The March 11, 2011 Tohoku earthquake and tsunami damaged Renesas Electronics' Naka campus, which produced as much as 40% of the world's automotive microcontroller supply, knocking it offline for roughly three months.
On September 30, 2025 the Dutch government invoked the Cold War-era Goods Availability Act to take control of Nexperia, the Netherlands-based chipmaker owned by China's Wingtech. Beijing retaliated with export controls on chips assembled at Nexperia's Dongguan, China facility, cutting off the bulk of Nexperia's shipments to Western automakers by late October 2025.